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The study of the risk of population-extinction in Gyeongsangbuk-do†
Journal of the Korean Data & Information Science Society 2024;35:135-43
Published online January 31, 2024;
© 2024 Korean Data and Information Science Society.

Jongtae Kim1

Department of Statistics, Daegu University
Correspondence to: This paper was submitted as the result of Daegu University research project 20230025 in the 2023 academic year.
1 Professor, Department of Statistics, Daegu University, Gyeongbuk 38453, Korea. E-mail:
Received December 13, 2023; Revised January 12, 2024; Accepted January 13, 2024.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License ( which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
The purpose of this study is to study areas at risk of population extinction in Gyeongsangbuk-do. Data on resident registration population, births, deaths, marriages, etc. from Statistics Korea KOSIS were used. The another purpose was to consider the degree of risk of cities and counties in areas at risk of population extinction in Gyeongsangbuk-do. Gyeongsangbuk-do is one of the regions with the most population loss in the country. Most of the local governments in Gyeongsangbuk-do, excluding Gumi City, are in areas at risk of population extinction. As of 2022, Gunwi.gun (0.08), Uiseong.gun (0.08), Bonghwa.gun, (0.08), Cheongsong.gun (0.09), Cheongdo.gun (0.09), Yeongyang.gun (0.10), Yeongdeok.gun (0.10), Seongju.gun (0.13), with a population extinction index of 0.15 or less. Goryeong.gun (0.13) and Sangju.gun (0.14) will reach the risk of population extinction among local governments in Gyeongsangbuk-do after 40 years (Kim, 2023).
Keywords : Future population projections, Gyeongsangbuk-do, linear model, population extinction risk. resident registered population.